LockChain Analysis Guide
How to Calculate Your Own Price Predictions using AI.
Instructions for AI Analysis
When asking an AI to analyze LockChain's price potential:
Share all the below information
Specify the volume scenario you want to analyze
Ask for step-by-step calculations
Request reasoning for each step
Ask for risk considerations
Example Query: "Using the provided LockChain data, calculate the expected price impact for a $1M buy volume in Scenario 1. Please show all steps and explain your reasoning."
Note: Different AIs may use slightly different approaches or assumptions. Compare multiple analyses for a more comprehensive vie
Required Information for AI Analysis
Token Fundamentals
Token Name: LockChain (LOCK)
Initial Price: $0.0008
Total Initial Supply: 1,000,000,000 tokens
Vesting Mechanism:
- 60% Available Immediately
- 37% Weekly Vesting (52 weeks)
- 3% Protocol Operations
Price Impact Amplification: 1.67x due to supply restriction
Distribution Details
- 5% Liquidity Sale (50% TGE, 50% vested weekly)
- 5% Team (25% TGE, 75% vested weekly)
- 3.5% CEXs
- 1.5% Airdrops (100% TGE)
- Remaining: Liquidity/Burn
Launch Scenarios
Scenario 1 (High):
- Raise: $100,000
- LP: $75,000
- Total Supply After Burn: 243.75M
- Initial MC: $139,000
- TGE Supply: 173.75M
Scenario 2 (Medium):
- Raise: $50,000
- LP: $30,000
- Total Supply After Burn: 187.5M
- Initial MC: $94,000
- TGE Supply: 117.5M
Scenario 3 (Low):
- Raise: $20,000
- LP: $10,000
- Total Supply After Burn: 162.5M
- Initial MC: $74,000
- TGE Supply: 92.5M
Calculation Framework
Base Formula
Constant Product Formula: x * y = k
Where:
x = token amount
y = ETH/USD amount
k = constant
Price Impact Calculation
1. Calculate Net Buy Pressure:
Net Buy = Volume * 0.4 (after 60% sells)
2. Calculate New Liquidity:
New LP = Initial LP + Net Buy
3. Calculate LP Multiplier:
LP Multiplier = New LP / Initial LP
4. Calculate Price Impact:
Price Impact = (LP Multiplier)² * 1.67
Important Considerations
Include vesting mechanism impact (1.67x)
Account for 60% immediate sell availability
Consider initial token holder selling pressure
Factor in liquidity depth impact
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